Tropical Disturbance Updates

[Update 11/03/2022 8:00AM]:

Tropical Disturbance 1

 

What we know:

Disorganized showers and thunderstorms are associated with a weak non-tropical area of low pressure located a few hundred miles east of Bermuda. Environmental conditions are expected to be marginally conducive for slow subtropical or tropical development of this system during the next few days as it moves slowly southward today and then turns westward by the weekend. The disturbance is expected to merge with a larger system developing to its southwest by the end of the weekend and further development is not anticipated at that time.

What is the likelihood of it gaining strength?

Formation chance through 48 hours: 10 percent (Low).

Formation chance through 5 days: 10 percent (Low).

 

Tropical Disturbance 2

 

What we know:

A large non-tropical low pressure system is expected to develop this weekend over the northeastern Caribbean sea and southwestern Atlantic. The system is expected to initially be very broad and disorganized, but environmental conditions could support gradual subtropical or tropical development beginning early next week while it moves generally northward or northwestward.

What is the likelihood of it gaining strength?

Formation chance through 48 hours: Near 0 percent (Low).

Formation chance through 5 days: 30 percent (Low).

 

 

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