[Update 06/28/2023 2:00PM]:

Tropical Disturbance 1

What we know:

A surface trough is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms a few hundred miles south-southeast of Bermuda. Upper-level winds are marginally conducive for some slow development of this system during the next few days while it moves generally northward at 5 to 10 mph.

What is the likelihood of it gaining strength?

Formation chance through 48 hours: 10 percent (Low).

Formation chance through 7 days: 20 percent (Low).

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