Tropical Disturbance Updates

[Update 09/27/2021 8:00AM]:

Tropical Disturbance 1

 

What we know:

An elongated area of low pressure associated with the remnants of Peter is located a few hundred miles east-southeast of Bermuda. Showers and thunderstorms associated with this system have changed little in organization since yesterday. However, environmental conditions are marginally conducive for some further development, and Peter could briefly become a tropical depression again during the next day or two while it moves northeastward near 10 mph. By midweek, environmental conditions are expected to become unfavorable for further development.

What is the likelihood of it gaining strength?

Formation chance through 48 hours: 50 percent (Medium).

Formation chance through 5 days: 50 percent (Medium).

 

Tropical Disturbance 2

 

What we know:

Disorganized showers and thunderstorms are associated with a broad area of low pressure located several hundred miles southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands. Environmental conditions are forecast to be conducive for further development of this disturbance, and a tropical depression is likely to form in a few days while it moves westward to west-northwestward at 5 to 10 mph over the central tropical Atlantic.

What is the likelihood of it gaining strength?

Formation chance through 48 hours: Near 40 percent (Medium).

Formation chance through 5 days: 80 percent (High).

 

Tropical Disturbance 3

 

What we know:

A tropical wave is moving offshore the west coast of Africa and into the far eastern tropical Atlantic. Upper-level winds are forecast to be conducive for gradual development, and a tropical depression is likely to form in a few days while the system moves westward to west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph over the far eastern tropical Atlantic.

What is the likelihood of it gaining strength?

Formation chance through 48 hours: 40 percent (Medium).

Formation chance through 5 days: 80 percent (High).

 

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