Tropical Disturbance Updates

[Update 08/04/2021 8:00AM]:

Tropical Disturbance 1

 

What we know:

A small and weak area of low pressure, with limited shower and thunderstorm activity, is passing near the Cabo Verde Islands. Significant development of this system is not expected during the next day or so due to unfavorable environmental conditions. Thereafter, this system is forecast to move northward or north-northwestward over cooler waters, ending its development chances. Locally heavy rainfall and gusty winds are possible over portions of the Cabo Verde Islands through today.

What is the likelihood of it gaining strength?

Formation chance through 48 hours: Near 0 percent (Low).

Formation chance through 5 days: Near 0 percent (Low).

 

Tropical Disturbance 2

 

What we know:

A tropical wave located over the central tropical Atlantic is producing a broad area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Environmental conditions are expected to be marginally conducive for some slow development east of the Lesser Antilles by Sunday and into early next week while the disturbance moves west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph.

What is the likelihood of it gaining strength?

Formation chance through 48 hours: Near 0 percent (Low).

Formation chance through 5 days: 20 percent (Low).

 

Tropical Disturbance 3

 

What we know:

A tropical wave is forecast to move off the west coast of Africa by late Thursday. Environmental conditions appear somewhat conducive for some slow development over the far eastern Atlantic through the weekend into early next week while the system moves generally westward at about 15 mph.

What is the likelihood of it gaining strength?

Formation chance through 48 hours: Near 0 percent (Low).

Formation chance through 5 days: 30 percent (Low).

 

 

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Tropical Storm Updates

[Update 07/06/2021 2:00PM]:

Tropical Storm Elsa

tropical storm Elsa stages through Florida

 

What we know:

Heavy rainfall will impact Cuba today resulting in significant flooding and mudslides. As Elsa moves near or along the Western Peninsula through Wednesday, heavy rainfall may result in isolated flash, urban, and minor river flooding, with considerable flash and urban flooding possible in Southwest and Western portions of Florida. Mid to late week, heavy rainfall across coastal Georgia, South Carolina, North Carolina, and Southeastern Virginia may result in isolated flash and urban flooding, with considerable flash and urban flooding possible across coastal Georgia and the Lowcountry of South Carolina.

There is a danger of a life-threatening storm surge along portions of the West Coast of Florida Tonight and Wednesday, and a Storm Surge Warning is in effect for that area.

A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for the Georgia Coast and portions of the South Carolina coast, where tropical storm conditions are possible late Wednesday and early Thursday

What is the likelihood of it gaining strength?

Hurricane conditions are expected tonight and early Wednesday along a portion of the west coast of Florida, where a Hurricane Warning is in effect. Tropical Storm conditions are occurring across portions of the Florida Keys and are expected to spread northward along much of the West Coast of the state through Wednesday morning, where a Tropical Storm Warning is in effect.

 

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Hurricane Updates

[Update 07/02/2021 10:00AM]:

Hurricane Elsa

What we know:

Heavy rainfall from Elsa will move quickly across the Windward and Southern Leeward Islands today, including Barbados. Outer rain bands will impact Puerto Rico late today into Saturday, and southern Hispaniola and Jamaica Saturday into Sunday. Flooding and mudslides are possible.

There is a risk of wind and rainfall impacts in portions of Cuba, the Turks, Caicos, and the Bahamas through early next week. Interests in these areas should monitor Elsa’s progress and updates to the forecast.

What is the likelihood of it gaining strength?

Hurricane conditions are occurring on Barbados and are expected elsewhere in the Hurricane Warning area in the next few hours. Tropical Storm conditions are expected to begin later this morning in other portions of the Windward and Leeward Islands. Tropical storm conditions are expected and hurricane conditions are possible over Southern portions of Hispaniola on Saturday. Tropical Storm conditions are possible over Jamaica beginning Saturday night.

There is a risk of storm surge, wind and rainfall impacts in the Florida Keys and portions of the Florida Peninsula early next week. However, the forecast uncertainty remains larger than usual due to Elsa’s potential interaction with the Greater Antilles this weekend. Interests in Florida should monitor Elsa’s progress and updates to the forecast.

 

 

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October Hurricane Outlook

The tropics are quiet. Too quiet. We are still in the peak of Hurricane Season within the Atlantic and Pacific, but the seas are silent. However, this hiatus will not last long.

The month of October has featured several of the United States’ most vicious and ill-famed systems (i.e. Hurricane Michael in 2018).

During October, wind shear begins to increase over the eastern and central Atlantic which will tear a system apart before it develops. However, in the Caribbean and Gulf of Mexico, the water temperatures are close to their warmest, and the wind shear remains close to its minimum.

Formation locations or tropical systems during October. (NHC/NOAA)

October is the most dangerous month for hurricanes for states like FL. Of the 112 recorded hurricanes to strike Florida since 1950, thirty-eight have occurred in October.

All Florida hurricanes since 1850 during the month of October (NHC, OPC, NOAA, HURDAT)

During month of October, there is a southward advance of the jet stream, as cold air begins to move over Canada. Which will facilitate fuel intense extratropical transitions because the remnants of hurricanes will move north.

What to Expect

By October 10th, rising motion related to consecutive convectively coupled Kelvin wave, a huge overturning circulation that meanders the tropics, will spread out around the western Atlantic. That upward motion can make it easier for storm clusters to become organized and a tropical system to mature, if one develops.

Broad rising motion will more than likely move in from the west and spread into the Western Atlantic by the second to third week of October. (CPC, NOAA)

 

During this point, the Madden-Julian Oscillation, or MJO — an analogous circulation that traverses the tropics monthly — is also supposed to enter a state that will cause a lot of storms and rain within the Caribbean and the Gulf of Mexico.

A phase 8 or 1 pattern would favor increased storms in the Gulf and Western Atlantic. (CPC, NOAA)

Even though some cooler waters linger within the northern Gulf after being churned up by Sally, the majority of the Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico stay warmer than usual. There is Plenty of heat to encourage a Hurricane if one does form.

Sea surface temperature anomalies in the Gulf of Mexico. (Tropical Tidbits)

 

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Tropical Depression Updates

[Update 11/13/2020 1:00PM]:

Tropical Depression Thirty-One

What we know:

Through Wednesday morning, heavy rainfall from Tropical Depression Thirty-One may lead to life-threatening flash flood and river flooding across portions of Haiti, Jamaica and Central America. Flooding and landslides from heavy rainfall could be significant across Central America given recovery efforts underway after Hurricane Eta.

What is the likelihood of it gaining strength?

The depression is expected to strengthen to a hurricane while it approaches the coast of Central America, and there is a risk of dangerous wind, storm surge, and rainfall impacts across portions of Nicaragua and Honduras beginning Sunday night. Hurricane Watches will likely be issued for a portion of this area tonight.

 

 

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Why Is Water Temperature Important?

Human populations demand solid weather forecasting. They need to know exactly what they are up against especially during the Atlantic tropical hurricane season. Not only do they need to know the speed, direction, and likely point of landfall, but for them to prepare they need to know days in advance. They have to buy the boards to board up the windows, batten down the hatches, and get everyone to a safe haven. There’s a lot that goes into forecasting the direction, path, and speed of hurricanes.

You may wonder why water temperature is so important for hurricane information. The reason has to do with a meteorological phenomenon. Surface water temperature increases the amount of evaporation. The more evaporation you get off the surface of the ocean, the more easily the normal wind flows and trade winds are blocked. When the trade winds are weak, or blocked by walls of heavy moisture content, the hurricane is allowed to freely form and grow stronger. The hurricane doesn’t have to worry about the trade winds knocking down the eye wall of the hurricane, or not allowing it form.

Without the trade winds moving the tropical storm along, that storm starts slowing down, as it goes slower all of that energy starts moving in a circular fashion. The hurricane eye wall becomes tighter and tighter, constantly evolving from a well-defined circle into a broken pattern, and reforming again. Eventually it finds a perfect groove, and the eye wall lasts longer between re-formations. If the water is cold, the evaporation slows down, and any prevailing winds push the hurricane forward on its path preventing the eye wall from creating a very tight circle with an increased low-pressure area.

This is why the super computers take into consideration the water temperature. It has often been said that warm water is like jet fuel for a hurricane. This is indeed true, and this is why warm water temperatures are so important and such an important component of the algorithms used to guesstimate, predict, and forecast the wind speeds, forward speed, and low-pressure numbers. By knowing these things and the prevailing trade winds, the artificially intelligent computer software system can adequately predict within a small range of probability.

It seems everyone knows that very warm water close to the shore in the path of a hurricane is a very dangerous factor to consider when predicting the impending disaster as the hurricane hits land, now you know why.

Three Methods for Emergency Disinfection of Drinking Water

After a water pipe leakage, flood or hurricane, the supply of clean drinking water could be interrupted. Therefore, you may have to use disinfected, boiled or bottled water until the water supply is restored. In this article, we are going to share with you a few methods that will help you disinfect drinking water from the comfort of your home.

The instructions given below can help you boil or disinfect water in order to kill microorganisms found in water. The good thing about these methods is that they won’t destroy other common contaminants like some chemicals, salts, and heavy metals.

First of all, make sure you use water that is properly disinfected. This type of water is safe for drinking, cooking and cleaning your clothes and dishes.

1. Boiling Method

If you don’t have bottled water to drink, you can boil any type of water you have access to. Boiling for 1 minute up to elevations of 2,000 meters (6,562 feet) and 3 minutes at elevations higher than that is enough to kill different types of pathogens, viruses, protozoa and bacteria, according to the reports released by WHO.

At times, water is cloudy. To get it cleaned, all you need to do is pour the water into another container through a coffee filter or a towel.

After boiling the water, you should take it off the heat and wait for a few minutes to let it cool down. Make sure the container is covered. If the water tastes flat or odd, you can add a small amount of salt into a litter of water. Alternatively, you can pour the water to another container and then to the first container and then repeat the process several times to fix the odor.

2. The Bleach Approach

For the bleach method, you need to use chlorine bleach for proper and safe disinfection. Typically, the active ingredients of this bleach have 6% of sodium hypochlorite. It’s not a good idea to go for color safe or scented bleach as they have additional cleaners.

Look for a clean dropper and use it to drop a few drops of bleach in the water. For a gallon of water, you can drop just 6 drops of bleach, which will be more than enough. However, the amount can be increased if the water is still quite cloudy or stinky.

Finally, you should stir the container and keep it covered for half an hour. If the water emits a little bit of chlorine odor, you can repeat the process and let the container sit for another 15 minutes.

3. Iodine Tablets, Crystals, or Solution

This is an effective and more convenient method. It is also available in different forms you will surely find one that would suit your budget. It has the ability to kill viruses and bacteria. They are lightweight and easy to use.

However, it takes about thirty minutes before you can drink the treated water. It is also not suitable for pregnant women. In addition, it has an aftertaste that you might not like.

Once you drop the tablet into the water container, shake the container and hold the bottle upside down and have the lid slightly unscrewed to let the iodine to flow into the threads of the bottle cap.

Long story short, if you are looking for an easy method to disinfect your drinking water in an emergency, we suggest that you try any of the three methods described in this article.

Regency DRT Acquires Jacksonville Florida Restoration Company

 

WEST PALM BEACH FL/FEBRUARY 2020/ – Regency DRT, a nationally recognized leader in property restoration, has announced the recent acquisition of a Jacksonville, Florida based emergency response and restoration company.  The offices are located at 2611 Old Middleburg Road N Building 3, Suite 3 Jacksonville, FL 32210 and will serve northeast Florida including Nassau, Duval, Clay and St. Johns counties.   The announcement was made by company President and CEO Scott Stamper.

“We are proud to add yet another region of Florida to our company’s footprint,” Stamper said.   “This acquisition is part of our company’s strategic future growth plan to offer our services to both residential, industrial and commercial customers throughout the entire State of Florida.  We are excited to offer northeast Florida customers the same excellent service that we are known for in Florida’s Panhandle and throughout South and Central Florida. We’re also very excited to present our new team members in Jacksonville with the fantastic opportunities and benefits our company offers.”

Regency DRT acquired Panhandle based Disaster Response Team in 2018, after opening new offices in South and Central Florida in the same year.  The company has grown from 2 offices and 5 employees in 2016 to 9 offices and over 80 employees in 2020.  Regency DRT was awarded the prestigious Phoenix Award for Innovation in Restoration by the Restoration Industry Association (RIA) in 2019. The award was created by the RIA In order to recognize conspicuously high achievement in the area of disaster restoration. Regency DRT received the honor for their work on the First Baptist Church of Panama City after the church suffered incomprehensible damage following Category 5 Hurricane Michael on October 10, 2018.

About Regency DRT

Regency DRT is a nation-wide leader in emergency services and property restoration services with 9 offices in Florida and Michigan, including West Palm Beach, Clermont/Orlando, Sunrise/Miami, Port St Lucie, Panama City, Fort Walton Beach, Pensacola, Jacksonville and Detroit.  Regency DRT was founded on the belief that a restoration company should provide superior quality of services to their customers while maintaining the industry’s highest standards.

 

Regency DRT offers 24 Hour Emergency Response and has extensive experience in working with insurance companies and claims adjusters on property insurance claims, coordinating everything from initial response until the property is restored to pre-loss conditions. With extensive training and knowledge of restoration services, the company is able to quickly respond with the necessary amount of equipment, resources and staff for the unique needs of the job, whether it’s a single residential loss, large loss or area-wide disaster.

Visit Regency DRT online at www.RegencyDRT.com.

 

Tropical Storm Nestor Expected to Hit Panhandle

Tropical Storm Nestor Expected to Hit Panhandle

The tropical disturbance in the Gulf of Mexico strengthened to a tropical storm on Friday afternoon. Tropical Storm Nestor will continue to strengthen and is expected to make landfall along the Florida Panhandle, near Panama City, sometime Saturday morning.

A close up of a map Description automatically generated

(Photo: National Weather Service)

The biggest threat of this storm will be storm surges, with surges of up to 5 feet along the Florida Gulf Coast from Indian Pass to Clearwater Beach. There is a Storm Surge Warning in effect for these areas. Winds are forecasted to be strong, with gusts of up to 50mph possible. Tropical storm force winds are likely late Friday night along portions of the central and eastern Gulf Coast, according to the National Hurricane Center.

A close up of a map Description automatically generated

(Photo: National Weather Service)

Isolated flash flooding in possible through Saturday night. Up to 6 inches of rain is possible in the Florida Panhandle. “Residents should prepare now for the chance of flooding & power disruption,” Florida Governor Ron DeSantis tweeted Thursday.

 

7 Facts About Disasters and Why Disaster Response is Important

 

7 Facts About Disasters and Why Disaster Response is Important

 

We live in a world where natural disasters are unfortunately common occurrences, so it is extremely important to always be prepared for them. Get familiar with what kind of natural disasters (hurricanes, tornadoes, landslides, etc.) affect the region you live in and make yourself aware of different disaster response options you have. These services exist to be on-call and offer assistance when you experience an earthquake, house fire, or any other unexpected disaster event. Below are seven facts you should know about disasters.

  • In 2012, 905 natural disasters struck worldwide including tornadoes, droughts, earthquakes, hail storms, floods, hurricanes, and wildfires.
  • It is important to devise a disaster response plan with the older adults in your life. With Hurricane Katrina and Hurricane Sandy, over half the victims of both catastrophes were senior citizens.
  • Within one decade, from 2002 to 2012, there has been over $1.7 trillion in damages related to disasters. These disasters have affected approximately 2.9 billion people.
  • In 2012 alone, almost 50% of disaster-related fatalities were caused by hydrological events including mass movements and flooding.
  • Hurricanes can reach wind speeds of over 160 miles an hour. Often, these hurricanes can unleash 2.4 trillion gallons of rain in a day causing massive flooding and horrendous wind storms.
  • Floods are the most common natural disasters. In the United States alone, the President declared that over 90% of natural disasters were flood related.
  • Too large of a percentage of homeowners do not have a disaster preparedness plan. A survey conducted showed that 80% of people do not have a home evacuation drill and an additional 60% were not aware of what their town’s evacuation route was.