[Update 07/22/2021 8:00AM]:
Tropical Disturbance 1
What we know:
A broad trough of low pressure located over southern Georgia is expected to move off of the southeastern United States coastline by Friday. Environmental conditions are expected to be marginally conducive for some gradual development over the weekend and into early next week while the system drifts slowly offshore of coastal North and South Carolina.
What is the likelihood of it gaining strength?
Formation chance through 48 hours: 10 percent (Low).
Formation chance through 5 days: 30 percent (Low).